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The 7-Step AI Methodology

Transparent, structured, data-backed. See exactly how EquiEdge will analyse every race — no black boxes.

1

Field Assessment

The AI starts by gauging the overall quality and size of the field. Small fields (<8 runners) are more predictable. It calculates field averages for weight, win percentage, and recent form score — establishing the baseline that every runner is measured against.

Foundation of every analysis
2

Form Analysis

For each serious contender, the AI reads the form string left-to-right (most recent first). It looks for improving form, consistency in the top three, recent wins at similar class and distance, and red flags like falls (x), failures to finish (f), or deteriorating patterns suggesting injury or loss of form.

Pattern recognition across recent starts
3

Conditions Match

Track condition is critical. The AI compares each horse's good-track win percentage against their overall win percentage. If today's track is wet and a horse only wins on dry tracks, that's a strong negative. Distance win percentage reveals proven ability at today's trip, and barrier position is evaluated relative to field size.

Conditions are where edges hide
4

Weight & Class

Horses carrying significantly more than the field average (>2kg above) are at a disadvantage. The AI calculates each horse's weight differential against the field average and factors in whether the horse is dropping or rising in weight from recent runs.

Data-driven weight assessment
5

Connections

Elite jockey and trainer combinations are a strong positive, especially when paired with good form. The AI recognises leading Australian jockeys and trainers and factors in their strike rates at this track and distance.

The people behind the horse matter
6

Real-Time Intelligence

This is where EquiEdge goes beyond static form guides. The AI uses live web search to pick up track biases, late scratchings that change field dynamics, weather shifts, jockey switches, stable confidence, and professional tipster consensus.

Live data integration
7

Edge Identification

Only after working through all six prior steps does the AI decide whether to make a selection. It only selects if it can identify a specific, data-backed edge — form and stats that clearly stand out against the field. If no horse has a genuine edge, the AI returns "No Selection."

Discipline is the edge
Know How Strong the Edge Is

Every selection receives a confidence score from 60 to 100+ with calibrated unit sizing.

60–69
Marginal
1–3 Units
70–79
Solid
4–6 Units
80–89
Strong
7–8 Units
90+
Dominant
9–10 Units
Red Flags the AI Catches

The AI automatically avoids selecting horses with any of these warning signs.

Recent Falls or DNFs

Any fall (x) or failure to finish (f) in the last 3 starts is an automatic exclusion.

No Distance Form

Horses with near-zero distance win percentage are flagged. First time at a distance is a significant risk.

Excessive Weight

Carrying 3kg+ above the field average is a strong negative. Weight differential is tracked in every analysis.

Wide Barrier in Sprints

Wide barriers (top 30% of field) in sprint races under 1400m are penalised heavily.

See the AI in Action

A real analysis from our beta testing. Note the disciplined elimination of horses before a selection is made.

EquiEdge Analysis
Randwick — Race 5
1400m · Good 4 · Fine · 10 runners · Field Avg Win %: 11.2%
AI Reasoning: Assessed the 10-runner field. Three horses stood out on form: Harbour Light (form 2113), Pacific Dream (form 1241), and Coastal Run (form 3122). Pacific Dream was eliminated — 0% wet-track form and today's Good 4 is borderline. Coastal Run carries 3.2kg above field average with a wide barrier (9 of 10) in a 1400m race — two red flags. Harbour Light has improving form, 24% distance win pct (vs 11.2% field avg), barrier 4, and the McDougall/Waterhouse combination has a 19% strike rate at Randwick. Weight is 0.8kg below field average.
Harbour Light
Form + distance + barrier + connections + weight
76 · 5 Units

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